Brazil: Haunted By Recurring Demons

Brazil’s two macro demons – a rising public debt-to-GDP ratio and inflation – have resurfaced and will worsen over the coming months. Yet, President Lula will pay lip service to fiscal concerns without enacting meaningful cutbacks. In addition, a politicized COPOM will cut rates aggressively next year and fall behind the inflation curve. All in all, the selloff in Brazilian markets still has legs.