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BCA Research

The essential source of macro insight for the world's top professionals.

All Asset Classes & Economies

We cover every corner of the globe through our Global, US, European, Emerging Markets, and China services. 

Asset classes span Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Commodities, Energy, Private Markets - along with Geopolitical analysis.

Over 60 Research Staff, including 16 senior Strategists

We have tremendous continuity among our team strategists, with nine having been with the firm for more than a decade. 

We are Independent

Leading Independent provider of Investment Research.  

Since 1949, BCA Research's mission has been to shape the level of conviction with which our clients make investment decisions.

Proprietary Models and Leading Indicators

With over 215,000 data series, BCA Research controls a vast treasure of historical data, including countless proprietary leading indicators and predictive economic models.

75
years delivering research
2,000+
clients, across 70 countries
80%
of top Global Asset Managers, with
$34tn
AUM

Outstanding global macro analysis, complemented by products focusing on regional economies and all key asset classes.

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A matrix of squares, a half of the square divided diagonally bottom left to top right are the brightest

Our Macro Research Products

Outstanding global macro analysis, complemented by products focusing on regional economies and all key asset classes.
Global Investment Strategy

Independent macro and cross-asset insight, led by Peter Berezin, connecting macroeconomic and...

GeoMacro Strategy

The first investment framework integrating macroeconomics and geopolitics, led by Marko Papic,...

Private Markets & Alternatives

Empirical analysis and expert advice on the most complex asset classes.

Global Asset Allocation

Portfolio construction service, advising CIOs and asset allocation teams on the optimum way to...

Geopolitical Strategy

The industry’s leading geopolitical research, led by Matt Gertken, translating global political...

Daily Insights

Stay on top of market events and BCA's latest ideas, with high value, timely insights delivered to...

Counterpoint

A global macro strategy which uniquely synthesizes macroeconomics with psychology, behavioural...

The Bank Credit Analyst

Covers developments in the US and global economy, with a focus on inflation, debt, and policy...

Emerging Markets Strategy

A differentiated macro perspective on emerging markets, led by Arthur Budaghyan, combining global...

US Investment Strategy

Continuously monitors the evolution of the business cycle, credit cycle and monetary policy to...

China Investment Strategy

Evaluates both the cyclical trends and structural developments of China's economy, to provide...

European Investment Strategy

In-depth analysis of Europe and its place within the global economy, applying unique macroeconomic...

US Political Strategy

Combines BCA’s macroeconomic and geopolitical expertise to focus on the market-relevant policies...

US Bond Strategy

Provides asset allocation recommendations to optimize your US bond portfolio, given the different...

Commodity & Energy Strategy

Top-down global-macro framework with bottom-up fundamental analysis of major commodities.

Foreign Exchange Strategy

Our premier currency service provides both tactical and strategic recommendations, with actionable...

US Equity Strategy

Unique sector and style allocation framework that blends macroeconomic, fundamental, and technical...

Global Fixed Income Strategy

Our premier service on the direction of interest rates and overall debt market dynamics.

Who we work with

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BBVA Asset Management
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Russell Investments logo
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Raiffeisen Capital Investment Logo
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“BCA Research is a must-have for any investor looking to gain an informational edge in today's complex markets. Between the insightful reports, webcasts, and direct access to the strategists, we receive a constant stream of cutting-edge investment insights.”

Our Track Record

We have a proven track record of helping our clients make the right calls.
Nov 2025

Removal of Maduro

Our Geopolitical Strategy work anticipated Maduro’s ouster as early as August and, by November, pointed to removal without a large-scale U.S. troop deployment. That scenario crystallized on January 3, 2026, when US special forces captured Maduro in Caracas.
Jul 2025

Short Brent crude

Commodity & Energy Strategy argued that bearish demand fundamentals would continue to push down crude oil prices in H2 2025, with geopolitics playing less of a role.
Feb 2025

Overweight European banks

European Investment Strategy initiated an overweight in European banks on February 21, 2025, and doubled down on their cyclical appeal even after the sector had already rallied. The position returned 32%.
May 2024

Underweight EM Risk: Trade Rebound Fades, Currencies Vulnerable

Our EM Strategy correctly argued that improving global manufacturing/trade would be modest and short-lived; it would begin contracting anew, weighing on EM stocks and currencies.
May 2024

Overweight European Equities vs the US

Our Counterpoint Strategy turned bullish on Europe amidst deep pessimism, spotting underappreciated structural, fiscal and political shifts driving a re-rating ahead of consensus.
Nov 2023

Buy European equities

European Investment Strategy recommended European equities, and the overall index rallied by 20% in eight months.
Sep 2023

Overweight long-term bonds in fixed-income portfolios

Global Investment Strategy recommended favoring long-term bonds.
Feb 2023

Warned that the China reopening rally would falter

After the rebound in Chinese share prices in late 2022 and January 2023, Emerging Markets Strategy argued that the economic recovery would disappoint and downgraded Chinese offshore stocks from neutral to underweight. The MSCI China Investable equity index dropped by 32% in the following 12 months.
Dec 2022

Championed Theme of Immaculate Disinflation.

Going into 2023, Global Investment Strategy predicted that it would be a year of immaculate disinflation and that share prices would move higher.
Sep 2022

High-Conviction “No Recession” And Equity Rally Calls

While most others were calling for an imminent downturn, Global Investment Strategy and US Investment Strategy argued that the US would avert a recession for some time and that stocks would rebound.
Jan 2022

Predicted Ukraine war

Geopolitical Strategy predicted Ukraine war, shorted the Russian ruble.