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Strategy Report

Conversations With Ms. Mea: EM Breakout On US Outflows?

by Arthur Budaghyan, Chief EM/China Strategist  

The belief that net portfolio outflows out of the US will fuel EM assets is a common but misguided narrative. If the US starts experiencing net capital outflows, it would need to run a current account surplus. A shift in the US current account from deficit to surplus would be devastating for the global economy in general and EM in particular.

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BCA Research | Emerging Markets Strategy

Global Investment Strategy, Counterpoint, Emerging Markets Strategy, China Investment Strategy, European Investment Strategy, US Investment Strategy.

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