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BCA Indicators/Model

BCA’s US Beige Book Monitor – an indicator we use to gauge changes in the language of the Fed’s Beige Book report and which historically tracks US GDP growth – has improved in April. Nevertheless — and despite March's hot retail sales and February's…
According to BCA Research’s Foreign Exchange Strategy service, an ensemble of technical indicators reveals that the dollar is overbought in the near term. The list of indicators they have compiled for this analysis is simple but potent: How are…

In this report, we review what our technical indicators are telling us about the G10 currencies.

In this note, we preview the Q1-2024 earnings season, give our take on expectations and share what we will be watching.

In this report, we present our quarterly review of our Model Bond Portfolio. The anti-growth bias of the portfolio allocations hurt the portfolio performance in Q1/2024 as global growth surprised to the upside. However, we anticipate some recovery of the underperformance in our base case scenario for the next six months.

The total return of a carry strategy that is long high-yielding currencies like the Brazilian real and the South African rand and short a funding currency like the Japanese yen is pointing to a recovery in global growth. Carry trades distribute liquidity…
The bitcoin ETFs are breaking several records. The Ishares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) from Blackrock is closing in on $20 billion in assets, surpassing ETF heavy weights like Ishares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), Ishares Japan (EWJ) and Ishares TIP Bond ETF (TIP).…

Europe credit flows are stabilizing, hence a major drag on the region’s growth will dissipate. What does this development imply for European equities?

In this report, we review our trade recommendations based on incoming data in the last month.

The analysis of complexity is a massive competitive advantage in investing, and from today, clients will be able to monitor the complexities of the world’s 17 major investments on our webpage in real-time.