Corporate Bonds
We continue to recommend a cautious investment stance, staying at benchmark duration, as the recovery in risk assets looks more like a counter-trend rally than the start of a new bullish run.
We are sending you the Q2 <i>Global Investment Strategy Outlook</i>, which discusses the ten predictions we expect to drive global financial markets throughout the rest of the year.
Several tail risks appear less ominous compared to last month. Nonetheless, the earnings outlook has not improved and the FOMC will turn more hawkish ahead of the June meeting. Stay defensively positioned.
Risk assets are stuck in a range driven by the Fed feedback loop. But the current rally may continue for another quarter or two.
In this <i>Special Report</i>, we present a detailed discussion on the outlook for Australian credit markets. Our conclusion is that investors should begin increasing exposure to Australian spread product.
The inflation outlook priced into the market is overly bearish, and TIPS breakevens will move higher as the drag on inflation from food and energy prices dissipates.
The Fed's recent dovishness represents an acknowledgement of the feedback loop between Fed policy and financial conditions. Expect Fed hawkishness to ramp back up prior to the next rate hike, likely in June.
The Fed's recent dovishness represents an acknowledgement of the feedback loop between Fed policy and financial conditions. Expect Fed hawkishness to ramp back up prior to the next rate hike, likely in June.
The Fed's decision to scale back intended interest rate hikes reflects economic reality.
The ECB's new stimulus measures are a sign that the ECB is now looking to provide more direct stimulus to domestic demand by supporting credit growth. The interest rate cuts, and the weaker Euro that comes with it, are over for now.
