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Yield Curve

Flying Blind

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for October 2025.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
Stablecoins Spotlight

From Treasurys to tokenization, stablecoins are quietly becoming one of the most disruptive forces in global finance, with the power to compress yields, deepen dollar penetration, and shift the balance within crypto markets. Explore BCA’s latest insights on their growing impact.

Foreign Exchange Strategy by Artem Sakhbiev
Resilient NAB Survey Undercuts Dovish RBA Pricing
Australia’s NAB survey shows underlying resilience, reinforcing our underweight on ACGBs and the case for AUD flatteners vs. CAD steepeners. The August survey was mixed, with current conditions improving to 7 from 5, while business confidence softened to 4…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Gold Breakout Aligns With Yield Curve Steepening
Gold and steepeners remain core trades, supported by structural shifts in markets and policy. Gold broke out of the consolidation range it had been in since April, supported by central-bank buying and heightened policy uncertainty. Moreover, the…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Watch The Unemployment Rate

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for September 2025.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
Trading Global Yield Curves: Where Steepeners Still Work
Special Report

Monetary policy surprises shape curve trade returns. We show where steepeners and flatteners offer the best risk-reward in today’s market.

Global Fixed Income Strategy by Robert Timper
Is The Labor Market Slowdown For Real?

Our Portfolio Allocation Summary for August 2025.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
BoC Holds Steady, Keeps Optionality Amid Trade Uncertainty
The BoC held rates at 2.75% for a third consecutive meeting, but a weak growth outlook and contained inflation reinforce our overweight in Canadian bonds. With policy within the 2.25%–3.25% neutral range, the BoC remains comfortable waiting for clarity…
Daily Insights by Felix-Antoine Vezina-Poirier
Projecting US Treasury Returns
Special Report

Investors should anticipate above average Treasury returns during the next 12 months, and curve steepeners will continue to profit.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift
The Trade War Finally Hits CPI

We discuss the implications of this morning’s CPI report and the relative attractiveness of 2/5 Treasury curve steepeners.

US Bond Strategy by Ryan Swift

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Corporate Bonds Gov Agencies Gov Local Authorities Gov Sovereigns/Treasurys Inflation Protected Investment Grade Munis/S&L tax exempt Securitized Products