Strategy Report
US Economic Outlook Has Improved But Significant Risks Remain
Recent economic data have been reasonably firm. We will cut our 12-month US recession probability to 40% from 50% if the Supreme Court strikes down President Trump’s tariffs. This would take our scenario-weighted year-end 2026 price target for the S&P 500 to 6375 from 6200.
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BCA Research | Global Investment Strategy
Global Investment Strategy, Counterpoint, Emerging Markets Strategy, China Investment Strategy, European Investment Strategy, US Investment Strategy.
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