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China

Special Report

China holds a structural advantage in this "Age of Electricity" by operating the world's largest electricity system. However, this advantage has inherent limits, and the US remains competitive despite its challenges.

China’s weakening economy is likely to bring more fiscal support in H2, but the benefits will be concentrated and equity volatility is set to rise. Our Chart Of The Week comes from Jing Sima, Chief China Strategist. Jing looks at China’s outlook for the rest…

This report addresses five frequently asked questions from our Greater China clients over the past few months.

Our China strategists are staying on the sidelines in Chinese equities on an absolute basis, as downside pressure is likely to build in the months ahead. Elevated energy prices are compressing corporate profits just as global demand cools, a combination that…

Oil shocks hit economies with a lag. China will feel the delayed pain of surging oil prices, pushing Beijing toward infrastructure spending as its main tool to prop up growth.

Special Report

The US-China trade truce is getting bigger and better, but a grand strategic bargain on Iran and Taiwan is not happening.

The Trump-Xi meeting was modestly positive, but it remained short on concrete commitments and did not amount to a strategic reset. Both sides still found room for limited trade de-escalation. President Trump may have lacked domestic and international leeway,…
Chinese inflation surprised to the upside, but the rise reflects higher energy prices rather than stronger demand. CPI rose 1.2% y/y versus 0.9% expected, while PPI was the bigger surprise at 2.8% y/y, almost double consensus. The PPI move matters more…

China’s K-shaped economy is widening, with resilient exports and subdued domestic consumption. Over the next 6–12 months, we see a higher probability that global capex momentum persists than China delivers meaningful consumer-focused stimulus.

Our China strategists caution against chasing the current "scarcity trade" rally in onshore equities given stretched valuations. The rally in A-shares reflects semiconductor supply constraints tied to the AI compute buildout, reinforced by the Iran conflict…